|
December 5, 2001
 |
|
| Bad Elements: Chinese Rebels from Los Angeles to Beijing |
Introduction
JOANNE MYERS: This morning we are very pleased to welcome back Ian
Buruma to discuss his latest book, Bad Elements: Chinese Rebels from Los Angeles to
Beijing. The book will be available for you to purchase at the end of
the program.
For over fifty years, communist rule in the People's Republic of China has
been so turbulent that even its staunchest supporters must have looked forward
to a less tumultuous future. However, the shaping of the future of China is not
an easy task. Whether change will come from pressure from within or from the
influence of dissidents living outside of China's borders is a question that is
difficult to answer.
For the past five years, Ian Buruma has traveled throughout the world in an
attempt to define the voices competing to mold China's future and to unmask the
rebels making headlines in their pursuit of a more liberated China. He has
interviewed numerous exiles of the Chinese diaspora, from Singapore to Taiwan,
from Hong Kong back to the People's Republic of China, compiling the stories of
the brave men and women who have struggled valiantly to defy the Communist Party
and who dare to stand up to the Party's powerful rulers. Their tales tell us
what it means to them to be Chinese and what, in their view, the struggle for
China's future is all about.
Mr. Buruma studied Chinese in The Netherlands. He has written of his many
years in Asia in such books as God's Dust, Behind the Mask, and
The Missionary and the Libertine. His last book, Anglomania, which
was discussed here, addressed the issue of England's place in Europe. His
articles have appeared in The New York Review of Books and The New
York Times Magazine, as well as in many other publications.
The New York Times has said that, "For years, Ian Buruma has been
writing some of the most trenchant and sophisticated commentary around on the
cultural-political worlds known as Asia."
We are extremely pleased to welcome him here to share with us his latest
findings. I would like to thank you for joining us this morning.
Remarks
IAN. BURUMA: I am sorry to be holding forth so early in the morning on
a topic like this, but I guess you're used to that. I am not.
It also seems slightly perverse to be talking in America these days about the
problems of China, which now seems an oasis of peace and calm in a world that's
exploding around it. But to assume that everything is okay in China as a loyal
ally in the anti-terrorism coalition may be a form of wishful thinking.
The word that is very often bandied about about China by commentators,
diplomats, and businessmen is "stability." This is really the modern word for a
more traditional term used by Chinese when it comes to politics and governing
China, which is "harmony."
The common idea is that it's important to preserve the stability or harmony
of China by maintaining the status quo as long as possible, by having a more or
less authoritarian party of technocrats rather than ideologues to keep things
under control, but that a democratic alternative in China would be dangerous
because it would destabilize society: People wouldn't know how to handle it; the
transition would be highly volatile and there might be mayhem in the streets.
There may be two reasons for this view of China, one traditional, one much
more modern. The modern one I could sum up in an anecdote which came to me this
summer when I went to Beijing en route for Moscow. As a way of preparing myself
for this first trip to Moscow, I was pointed in the direction of an academic in
Cambridge who was a specialist in Chinese economics but who also knew and had
views on the Soviet Union.
I met him in London and was surprised to hear this man, who looked, dressed
and spoke like an old leftist, which I think he was, say, "It's absolutely
imperative that the Chinese Communist Party keep absolute control, and anything
else would completely wreck the country." If it were up to him, he said, he
would throw every dissident and Falun Gong believer in jail; these people were
going to wreck the country in the same way that those democrats in Russia had
wrecked Russia. The word "chubais" (phonetic) brought foam to his mouth,
and he was absolutely adamant that the Party had to be in control of China.
We parted on slightly frosty terms when it became clear that we didn't really
agree on these things. I asked him when he had last been to China, and said
through gritted teeth, "Last month," and that he actually went once a month,
which surprised me even more, since Cambridge academics — Cambridge, England,
that is — don't get paid the kind of salary that allows them to go to China once
a month.
And so, rather mischievously, I looked him up on the Internet and, lo and
behold, apart from his academic credentials, he came up as an advisor to the
People's Council of the National Committee of the People's Republic of China
and the Coca-Cola Company in Atlanta, Georgia.
This is a symbiosis that didn't exist in the case of the Soviet Union. The
country is ruled by a Leninist party, largely without the Marxist ideology,
which very few Chinese, even in the Party, believe in anymore, but the country
is nominally under the control of the Communist Party, where a great deal of
money is to be made. This is informing our relations to China, and it is in some
ways informing people's opinions about China.
The other reason for our obsession with stability and harmony in China is a
more traditional one, which has existed in China since imperial days, that the
government was in charge not just of secular political institutions but of a
cosmic order; that its duties were spiritual, moral, religious, as well as
political.
There had not been a separation of church and state in the way that took
place in Europe. The emperors were the mediators between heaven and earth, and
the Mandarins, the scholar officials, were those who articulated, defined, and
disseminated the official orthodoxy, which was that China had to be unified,
that there was such a thing as a unified China in which harmony reigned,
preserved by the government. Any challengers to the orthodoxy were seen as
people who would not only bring disharmony but also attack Chinese civilization
itself. In modern terms, those who attack or challenge the right of the
Communist Party to rule are almost invariably branded as anti-Chinese, as though
they are not just political dissidents but somehow opposed to the official idea
of China, and Chinese culture itself.
This idea of harmony is one of the great barriers between the status quo in
China and a transition to freer institutions. It plagues the dissidents
themselves as much as it does the governments that they challenge. Many
dissidents in China - in Mainland China and in exile- see themselves as people
who have to save the country. They stand for an alternative model in which not
just political institutions but also people's way of thinking and ethics and
morals have to be transformed to produce a new cosmic order in China.
The Communists did this, too, with the creation of the New Man and the
Communist Morality and Ethics, but was much more than a purely political
project.
In order to really challenge myself or test these myths of one China, one
Chinese civilization whose culture had produced particular political
institutions and whose people thought in a particular way because they are
Chinese, I chose not just to write about the People's Republic of China but to
include Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong, as well as the exiles.
I did this to show that people who come from a similar cultural and
linguistic tradition, given different historical circumstances, can go in
completely different political directions. In a way, I did it as a challenge to
cultural determinism, the idea that a particular culture has to produce a
particular set of political institutions; the idea that the Chinese, not having
had a history of democracy, therefore are unlikely to be able to handle it.
The example of Taiwan, if nothing else, has shown the fallacy of that way of
thinking, and I know that people then argue that, Yes, but Taiwan is very small,
and so you can do it there, but it's impossible in such a large and diverse
country as China. My one-word rebuttal is India, which is even more diverse and
complicated than China, but has a functioning democratic system, flawed though
it is.
The question that I was trying to answer by spending time traveling to
Taiwan, particularly during elections, was really what allowed the Taiwanese to
succeed in the transition to a democracy.
One of the reasons for their success is related to this cosmic,
all-encompassing moral idea of politics. Taiwanese dissidents never felt that
they had to save China because most them from the fifties through the eighties
were the so-called native Taiwanese, the people whose ancestors came to Taiwan
300 years ago. Their project was to break the monopoly of power of the so-called
Mainlanders, under Chiang Kai-shek in the late 1940s with the KMT, the
Guomindang (Kuomingtang or KMT). And the Guomindang were the ones who presented
themselves as the guardians of Chinese civilization.
Quite deliberately and overtly, the National Museum in Taipei is a symbol of
this. The treasures of Chinese civilization are or were kept in Taipei to
legitimize the right of the KMT to rule. Their goal was to claim that they stood
for China, that they would reconquer the Mainland one day, and that they were
the guardians of the Chinese tradition. Those who opposed them were not
interested in saving that tradition and were Taiwanese nationalists.
And so they were relieved, or liberated from that old burden of Chinese
dissidents having to save China. They could concentrate on more practical
things, even though Taiwanese nationalism can also be romantic, idealistic,
provincial and often tiresome. But the immediate goals were political less than
cultural, which is why they succeeded in the end.
It also made them more open to ideas from the West and from the United
States, in particular, but also from the Japanese colonial past, without feeling
that they were somehow betraying their Chinese heritage or being anti-Chinese.
One of the interesting things in talking to the older dissidents — those who
were active in the sixties and seventies in Taiwan and who still speak fluent
Japanese from their Japanese colonial education — was to discover how they saw
the Japanese past through ugly rose-tinted spectacles. They would often tell
you, unprompted, how much better things had been under the Japanese, and
Japanophilia in Asia is a rare thing. The Mainland Chinese, the Mainlanders, or
even sometimes "those Chinese," they would say, when they were speaking in
Japanese, were uncouth and spat in the streets and had no culture, no idea of
democracy, no sense of order; whereas the Japanese, in contrast, brought order,
and fair play, and rule of law, and were civilized. Things were harsh, but at
least the Japanese brought all those wonderful, modern things.
This was a way to oppose the Mainlanders more than to give an accurate
picture of what the colonial past had been like, which was not rosy. I went to
see a friend in Taipei who was a Hong Kong Chinese. He was a former comedy movie
star in Hong Kong who played a part in 1989 in helping the students on the
square in Tiananmen and later using his show-biz gangster connections, which in
Hong Kong are very close, to enable a lot of the student leaders to escape from
China.
His name is John Chung. One day in his office in Taipei, where he now lives,
and has a cable television company, I asked him about this business of the
so-called native Taiwanese and their attitudes to the Mainlanders and whether
they were really so different. And he said that they were absolutely the same as
the Mainlanders. They spat in the streets, they had no sense of order, they were
uncouth, they had no culture. But the Hong Kong Chinese he said, were very
different, with a sense of fair play and the rule of law.
And I said, "Well, why is that?" knowing exactly what he was going to say. He
said, "Well, because we were under the British." And it shows a curious lack of
self-confidence amongst many members of the Chinese elite - and this really goes
all the way through the Chinese-speaking world - a kind of injured pride, and a
sense that Chinese civilization, being so ancient and rich, somehow should
produce the greatest country on Earth. Because it has not, there is a great
sense of humiliation which can flip expressions of cultural superiority very
quickly into a kind of cultural self-loathing. A surprising number of Chinese
dissidents, especially abroad, have become Christians, thinking that only once
all Chinese are converted to the Christian faith can they have democratic
institutions. Underlying that idea is the same old notion that politics is not
just the question of institutions but the question of moral transformations.
In Taiwan and Hong Kong, to a large extent people, Democrats, were liberated
from this. Their project in Hong Kong, too, was to limit the power of the
authorities, which, after all, is the real basis for democratic rule, and, in
the case of Hong Kong, to protect the rights and the rule of law - which were,
after all, the products of colonialism - against the power of the Chinese state.
Unfortunately, this is now being undermined in Hong Kong, not necessarily by
the government in Beijing, but by the old colonial elite of mostly businessmen,
who managed Hong Kong under British colonial period rule, and are now managing
it under Chinese rule but doing so in a more autocratic manner than before, and
claiming cultural reasons for doing so.
Governor Tung Chee-hwa, not a great connoisseur of Chinese culture, is
claiming Chinese values, Confucianism, Asian values even, taking a cue from Lee
Kuan Yew (Singapore) to try to make governance in Hong Kong more autocratic. To
some extent he is beginning to get away with it, although there is heartening
resistance to it in Hong Kong, certainly when it comes to things like freedom of
the press. Nonetheless, it is not a good tendency.
I would like to come back to where I began before inviting you to ask
questions. Is it really true that one-party rule guarantees stability any more
than a more democratic alternative would? I would argue that it would not, and
it is because of this question of legitimacy, that under Mao in the worst days,
there was still a horrible orthodoxy, but an orthodoxy which could be claimed to
give the communist government of China, a kind of legitimacy. It was a set of
morals, the creation of the new man, but enough people believed in it that the
government had some kind of legitimacy.
This more or less disappeared in the 1980s with the open-door policy, when
communist dogma really lost its force to persuade, and what legitimacy was left
was pretty much smashed in 1989 once the government turned its tanks on its own
people.
What is left after 1989 of government legitimacy, one-party-rule legitimacy?
Apart from the promised guarantee of order and stability, it's the idea that
everybody is going to get more prosperous. This is a very vulnerable kind of
stability because not everybody even now is getting more prosperous, and in
times of economic crisis, many people may even be getting considerably poorer.
This is likely to produce more and more social unrest, even and particularly,
perhaps, after China has joined the WTO, which is going to cause great tensions
in the country, with the poorer elements feeling the brunt.
The problem is that without the elite pushing for democratic reforms, if it's
left up to the poor, rural people, and unemployed workers, any kind of
discontent and protest is more likely to produce violence and precisely the kind
of disorder that the elites fear. Since they are doing quite well at the moment,
the elites are disinclined to rock the boat or give leadership in any kind of
reformism.
And what is left to the government to legitimize itself once you have social
unrest is the very thing that has been used by governments who try to keep
control of undemocratic societies with unrest elsewhere and in history, which is
an aggressive nationalism, which you can already see evidence of in China, and
particularly during the U.S. plane incident or the bombing of Belgrade.
It is a nationalism based on past grievances, on the sense of humiliation
beginning with the opium wars. The world doesn't want us to have our place in
the sun. It's a nationalism very akin to the kind of nationalism of Wilhelmine
Germany, whose ideas indeed have been taken over in East Asia, not just in China
but also in Japan in the 19th century. They are rather poisonous ideas and, if
directed to the outside world, indeed, very dangerous. I am not suggesting that
China is going to unleash World War III tomorrow or any time soon - indeed, I
don't think China will do anything very rash until 2008, for obvious reasons,
which is the one positive thing to be said for the Olympic games - but
eventually it could lead to miscalculations towards Taiwan, which would cause
all kinds of problems in its wake.
With that, I would like to open up the discussion. Thank you very much.
Questions and Answers
QUESTION: If you could have an election on whether they want
democracy in China now, how do you think it would come out, and what groups
would support it and what groups would resist it?
IAN BURUMA: In the unlikely event that there were to be a referendum
of that sort, we would perhaps be surprised. The majority of the people would
want it, and those who might not would not be the poor. It would be precisely
those of the elite who feel that their interests are better safeguarded by
having a strong, authoritarian control, which rather contradicts another
received opinion in many quarters in the West that a middle class automatically
produces more liberal institutions. It doesn't automatically do so. A middle
class can be very conservative if it feels that its own interests are better
protected with strong central control.
QUESTION: First, I've spent a lot of time on Taiwan and written about
Taiwan, so I look forward to reading your book. What do you see as the impact of
the recent election?
IAN BURUMA: I can't imagine that the policy towards the Mainland would
change significantly, because I don't think there is much room for maneuver
there. Chen Shuibian has played it pretty deftly, and the best they could hope
for is to keep the status quo without doing anything very provocative. So I
don't think it would change in that respect.
It has given more added legitimacy to the fledgling democracy that they have,
and it is very heartening that even in times of economic crisis, which the KMT
has done its best to blame on the DPP, the DPP still won that many votes.
QUESTION: To return to this whole question of religion, separation of
church and state, how would you categorize religious dissent? Is it political,
or is it religious? I have been reading The New York Times to get a grip
on these things.
IAN BURUMA: It depends on the dissenter, of course. There are those
whose principles are essentially political, and actually, Wei Jingsheng, a
much-maligned figure, in my view, is one of them. He is a stubborn, difficult,
uncompromising, a wild character, and he is easy to caricaturize as a sort of
buffoon who has no legitimacy at all. But he has stuck to one very firm
political principle, which is that nothing will change as long as people don't
have the right to vote and express their opinions in public freely. I would put
him and others in the purely political camp.
But there are also those - I mentioned the evangelical Christians - who
believe and preach that all Chinese must convert to Christianity before they can
have a political transformation. There are others who believe that Chinese
culture has to change; those who argue that the Chinese people have to become
more educated. If the argument is that the Chinese are still backward and have
to be educated to be able to handle democracy, then why is it that only the
least educated, most rural people have the right to elect anybody?
So it is a mixed bag, and many but not all dissidents do have that
cultural-religious attitude to politics.
QUESTION: Chinese unity is relatively new, and has often been achieved
at gunpoint. Some have speculated that with the possible changes in China with
entry into WTO, there may be a new fragmentation of China into various segments
in the country with their own traditions. Can you speculate on that?
IAN BURUMA: Yes, I think that already the local and regional party
bosses have quite a lot of autonomy from the central government, and it is not
always a good thing.
I am not an expert on Tibet -- I've been there -- but I am told that things
are often harsher in Tibet than they need be because the local chiefs, party
bosses, are more authoritarian than even the central government would like them
to be, but they are not really firmly under central control. So that tendency is
already there.
It depends on how it happens. Ideally, the solution for China in the end is a
federation which might include Taiwan, with a federal government but which would
allow for strong autonomous regional governments. But whether this will happen
peacefully or come as a result of fragmentation of a more chaotic sort, we don't
know.
QUESTION: Could you tell us to what extent the elites are predominated
by the Han people, and also, in the new concern about Muslim fundamentalists and
conversations between Beijing and Washington, what is the role of Muslim
dissidents?
IAN BURUMA: The elites and the majority of the Chinese people are
largely Han. Again, I am not an expert on the Uigur problem. Both in Tibet and
in the Muslim areas, the strategy is a very colonial one, although unlike the
former European and American colonies, where the colonizing power was always a
very small minority, and held power in its colonies partly by force, but partly
by intimidating people enough to make them feel that the colonial power was
somehow natural.
Tibet, in the western, at least in the urban areas of the Muslim west of
China, is being flooded by Han Chinese, and the majority population of many of
their cities already is Han Chinese. So the Muslims are being gradually reduced
to being a purely rural people, which will make it very difficult for them to
pose a real challenge to authority. I think that they're a bigger worry to the
central government than the Tibetans, partly because they have allies outside
China and can be armed by people across the border, which is not the case with
the Tibetans.
As the result of 9/11 and the coalition, it is very clear what China is
trying to get out of this, which is that it will use this as a way to be able to
crack down on its dissidents, whether they are Muslims or Falun Gong or anybody
else, and claim legitimacy for it, that it is, their war against terror. And
while we have this coalition, Western governments will be less inclined to make
a fuss about that than they might have before.
QUESTION: You mentioned that the only people who can elect some of
their own officials are in the agrarian communities. Are there any sort of
grass-roots movements starting in those areas for democracy?
Earlier this year, analysts were predicting that reform will come to a head
in 2003 with the National Congress and when Jiang Zemin will choose his
successor. Do you really think that there will be any sort of reform in 2003, or
will there simply be more economic reform where Coca-Cola will be allowed in,
for example?
IAN BURUMA: As far as grass-roots movements are concerned, no, there
is no evidence of that, because the problem in China is that the government has
been very clever and successful strategically, or tactically, in dealing with
potential challenges, and let go of those areas in Chinese life which do not
pose a direct threat to the government. In other words, individuals are much
freer than they were before. They can go to discos, choose the kinds of jobs
they would like, and even speak their mind in private. People will tell you
anything in private or even in public. I've heard people in restaurants denounce
the Communist Party with loud voices, and nothing will happen.
But as soon as you do anything, whether it is religious, cultural, or
political on an organized basis to set up civil society, they crack down.
And so you have these village elections, which were instituted to make
one-party rule more efficient, because if you allow people in remote areas to
vote for their own local bosses, who are then answerable to the central
government, you have a much smoother pipeline from the center to the periphery.
But if it were to lead to any attempt to form parties or movements, they would
come down on it very hard.
Yes, we can expect more economic reform, but I don't think Jiang Zemin's
successor will be any more inclined to have serious political reform than we've
seen so far.
QUESTION: Do you have any idea who would succeed Jiang Zemin? I know
that a few names are being proposed, but what is your assessment?
IAN BURUMA: The name most often mentioned is Hu Jintao and he's not a
democrat. He was a very harsh governor of Tibet.
What is emerging now is that the communist revolution was led by peasant
revolutionaries, hard men, fighters, some of them romantic figures. The sort of
people who are now leaders are rather like company CEOs or the sort of people
that liberal democrats in Japan are producing, party hacks who are very good at
doing background deals, who are schmoozers, don't make enemies, keep their noses
clean, and are often rather mediocre men, but shrewd party machine operators. We
are not going to see revolutionaries, for sure, or romantic leaders, and these
hacks are unlikely to produce any significant change.
QUESTION: One item troubles me, and that is the sociological. People
speak of China as if it's a harmonious, using the term, entity, and I solicit
your comments, in that China itself never really followed a central theme.
Confucianism is a philosophy, and it only applied to the upper strata. In the
lower strata, it made no difference; they went ahead, farmed, and followed the
wishes of the local governor who responded, not always in every case, to the
emperor, and you had the fragmentation there. But only later did the term of
nationalism start to appear after these Manchus which came into China.
I see a demarcation between rural and urban. The economics in the rural area
has always been quiet, tacit, if you will. Therefore, in starting anything, you
have to look at the history and all of the aspects dealing with who were the
communists, who were they for the masses that joined, who tried to get away from
the oppressiveness of Chiang Kai-shek, all of the ideas that were fostered
during the first revolution in 1911.
IAN BURUMA: Yes, but of course, like everywhere else, the urban
population is growing enormously. But China is still predominantly rural, but it
is changing fast, and the ethics and politics, are led largely by the urban
elite, whose importance is growing.
What will happen, what is happening in China, is what has happened elsewhere.
And again, Japan is quite a good parallel, since it is culturally reasonably
close. Of course, Confucianism was something of the educated class, and just as
in Japan, Samurai ethics, including the right to commit suicide, were only there
for the Samurai in the Tokugawa period.
But what resulted in the Meiji when the urban population grew and you
developed a middle class, who took on modern, mostly European, and mostly the
wrong European ideas, in my view, when nationalism became the main factor to
create a new, modern state identity, was a debased form of the Samurai values
that then spread beyond the old Samurai class, and everybody started to adopt a
version of Samurai ethics, including forms of Confucianism.
That may be true of China too, that they've adopted or they're beginning to
adopt a kind of nationalism. In China, it started during the same period as in
Japan, developed somewhat differently, but they've also taken on the wrong
European ideas. The kind of nationalism based on culture, blood and soil, rather
German ideas, are being spread first by the urban elite but will become more
general as time goes on and the countryside empties and the cities grow larger.
QUESTION: You may have just answered the question I was going to ask,
but why should we give democracy a try in China if the risks involved are a
democratic China being potentially like a democratic India?
China is currently absorbing a very high proportion of the world's
foreign-grade investment. That is our money which we're investing and which
would be at risk in a chaotic China. It is all very well in the comfort of New
York to contemplate an East Asia deeply affected by war in China, but Southeast
Asia, which will be fundamentally affected by China, is very uncomfortable for
my country.
Why should we settle with a regime that has worked out well living with a
world that has now achieved its position in WTO, that increasingly is prepared
to talk to us about arms control and disarmament that we should use in a
rational way? Why tear that down?
IAN BURUMA: Everything you've just said could have been said about the
Shah of Iran, too.
QUESTION: Well, I was invested in Iran.
IAN BURUMA: Because in the long run more democratic institutions would
guarantee a more stable and orderly China, whereas the lack of them will
probably produce the opposite result. If you take away legitimate political
means by which people can resolve their conflicts of interests and discontents,
all that is left in the end is mob violence. And maybe the Chinese government
will be able to put out all those bush fires constantly by using force, but
that's not a very pretty picture either.
And if history is any guide, we just look at modern history, and many
countries, including Japan, have had a choice: Either you base your idea of
statehood and national identity on the sense of citizenship based on rights, or
you base it on the more German model, which is more idealistic on culture,
language and race, and have a strong authoritarian control that uses this idea
of cultural and racial cohesion as a way to keep society together.
Modern history has shown that the latter course is the least likely to
produce peace and harmony.
QUESTION: In digression from your main point, but since we've talked
about culture so much, I would be interested in your observations about the
argument growing in popularity of the role of culture in economic development.
People like Samuel Huntington and David Landis are talking about how there is
something inherent in Confucianism that helps promote economic development in
China and the rest of East Asia. What do you think about that?
IAN BURUMA: It's pretty spurious. It goes back to Weber and
Protestantism being more conducive to capitalism than Catholicism. Weber, of
course, argued that Confucianism was the reason that East Asia was held back
economically. And then suddenly in the 1980s we were told that actually it was
Confucianism that produced the economic miracles of China and South Korea.
But by the same token, you could say it's Confucianism that has produced
North Korea. Countries take off economically for reasons other than cultural
traditions.
It may be true that when the institutions are such that they will enable
economic growth and unleash people's energies in the right directions, that then
it helps to have some code of ethics that makes people behave tolerably well at
the same time. But then it doesn't really matter whether it's Confucianism or
Protestantism or Catholicism or Judaism or even Islam.
I don't think there is anything inherent in any of these traditions. It's
more that you need both, you need some kind of code of behavior, more or less
traditional, and you need a set of institutions that allow an economy to
develop.
QUESTION: Why do you think these Chinese in exile living day today
would talk about democracy and human rights when we see already that democracy
is anarchical? Do you think any of the intellectuals will think about this?
IAN BURUMA: I wonder if what you say is true. Yes, there is a great
deal of anarchy in the world, but on the whole, it's not in the democracies. The
democracies are relatively peaceful compared to countries where there is a very
weak state, if any at all. But to say that democracies produce anarchy, is a
strange case to make.
QUESTION: Do you think that democracy exists anywhere today or any
time a thousand years ago?
IAN BURUMA: If you see democracy as a kind of Utopian ideal of
absolute freedom, no, then it doesn't exist anywhere. But if you see it as a set
of institutions which allow people to resolve conflicts more or less peacefully,
then yes, it does exist in many countries, and in more countries than ever
before; and it is precisely in those countries that there is a relative order
and stability. I would argue that the problem of Muslim fundamentalism is a
result of the failure to set up secular states, but not the failure of
democracy. It started with the failure of state socialism in the Middle East,
and then that was replaced by military strong men, and the people who opposed
that have turned to religion for lack of anything else. But it is not produced
by democracy.
QUESTION: Is there a policy response that our government or Western
governments should develop to address this emerging dramatic nationalism?
IAN BURUMA: Very difficult to do. Our leverage in China is limited,
and one of the ironies of modern history is that those countries in East Asia
which have been most successful in diffusing that kind of nationalism and making
a transition to more open societies are precisely those much-maligned U.S.
client states of the 1960s and 1970s.
One of the reasons this was possible in the Philippines, Taiwan and South
Korea was because the United States had the clout to tell the generals, after
they had been pushed to concede elections, to actually follow through and not
pull back. The United States is in no position, let alone the EU, to influence
China in this way.
Chinese politics are a problem for the Chinese themselves to work out. The
best we can do is push them more on human rights issues, but we can't tell them
what kind of political institutions to have. We can encourage those who would be
most inclined to have liberal solutions and not dismiss them as either
irrelevant or dangerous troublemakers or deluded westernized dreamers.
|