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November 20, 2006
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Entering Pakistan at the Torkham crossing from Afghanistan. Photo by mbiturbo |
It is mid-November and winter is finally coming to Pakistan. It is late this
year. Here too there is talk of global warming, although in every city
Pakistan's famous, brightly painted buses, trucks and rickshaws spew forth vast
quantities of thick black exhaust all day and night, and brick factories, where
people work seven days a week making clay and straw bricks for housing
construction, send black smoke into the sky, the way coal plants used to in
America.
Karachi, once Pakistan's capital, is still its financial center. This
steaming, vast, crowded city of 15 million on the Indian Ocean has cooled down
somewhat and now the nights are balmy. But if you are in a garden near the water
at sunset, mosquitoes still appear in force and fears of the deadly Dengue
disease drive you inside to the cooling blasts of intermittent air conditioning.
Islamabad is the new capital, where the industry is politics. This quiet
city, parts of it not unlike an American suburb, was built on farmland in 1965.
It sits on a plateau in the middle of the country, 90 minutes by plane north of
Karachi. Islamabad too is hot in the summer, but not steamy, not like Karachi,
and as winter approaches you need a sweater or coat at night.
The rains have come to Islamabad, as they have to Peshawar, a three-hour
drive to the west, and only thirty miles from Afghanistan. In Peshawar the fruit
stands along the roads still have bananas for sale, but far fewer oranges and
tangerines. It is no longer the season.
For Pakistan's intellectual and political classes—but not for the ruling
military—there is a sense that winter of another sort has come across the land.
It is winter in the very soul of the country, and there is no spring in sight.
It does not help that the U.S. State Department has a travel advisory on
Pakistan, which states that "the possibility of terrorist activity directed
against American citizens and interests" is a fact of life. No American or
European airline flies to Pakistan. There are few foreigners around and those
that are here stand out, especially the muscled American soldiers, in short hair
and jeans, carrying backpacks and wearing wrap-around sunglasses. They come and
go to the Marriott in Islamabad, here from Afghanistan for R and R.
Why write again about Pakistan? Lt. General John Abizaid,
head of Centcom [US Central Command], said in a speech at Harvard this week, "If
we don't have the guts enough to confront this ideology [Islamic militancy]
today, we'll go through World War Three tomorrow." A few years ago he said that
the "War on Terrorism" would not be won until we dealt with Pakistan and Saudi
Arabia.
In the last couple of weeks Dame Eliza Manningham-Buller, head of MI-5, the British
internal security agency, gave a rare speech, played up throughout the press, in
which she noted the problems of Islamic militancy in Britain and elsewhere,
especially Pakistan, which she considered the center. Neither Abizaid nor
Manningham-Buller noted—perhaps they could not because of their positions—that
most people here in Pakistan feel that U.S. foreign policy, and that of some of
its allies, is responsible for world terrorism, not the other way around.
Pakistanis ask about the U.S. elections, which are shown prominently in
newspapers and on television across the Muslim world, from Casablanca to Dubai
to Islamabad. But they are not sure yet how much difference the elections will
make. They want to know. They know that American voters can and do, unknowingly,
influence their lives.
On November 19, a Gallup International Poll was
printed on the front page of a Pakistani national newspaper, The Daily
Times. It stated that of 63 countries polled, only Denmark, (famous here for
its cartoons mocking the Prophet Mohammed), and Israel think the U.S. is playing
a positive role in fighting terrorism. In Pakistan, 61%, according to Gallup,
feel that the U.S. is playing a negative role.
While in Pakistan I have talked with taxi drivers, alcohol-drinking,
rock-and-roll listening secularists—and there are many of these in Karachi and
Lahore—businessmen, religious leaders, jihadists, and journalists among others.
Judging by my own random polling in conversations in Islamabad, Karachi and
Peshawar, I would say that more like 90% consider the current U.S. government to
be a negative force in the world. Perception is reality in politics. Pakistanis
themselves, at all levels, remain remarkably gracious, polite and welcoming to
foreigners. I feel awkward when they are so nice, some of them too often
obsequious to foreigners, knowing how this contrasts to the way in which I feel
that many Americans feel about dark-skinned Pakistanis or Muslims in general,
and how they are often perceived and treated in the U.S.
Beyond the latest cricket match against England or the West Indies (a sport
followed avidly here), in general the foremost on many people's minds in recent
weeks, is the CIA drone attack on a madrasah in Bajour. Bajour is in the
northern part of Pakistan, just across from Kunar Province in Afghanistan.
[Click here for a map of the Afghanistan/Pakistan border
regions.]
On January 13, 2006, a CIA drone attacked two houses in Damadola, a
village near the Afghan border. It came during the festival of Eid ul-Adha,
marking the end of Hajj, the pilgrimage season to Mecca, and killed 13 people,
most of whom were women and children. The press reported that it was thought
that Ayman al-Zawahiri would be attending an Eid dinner that night
in Damadola. He was not there. I was here then and talked with the U.S. consul,
Michael Spangler, in Peshawar, after the attack. He was pained by the anti-U.S.
feeling sweeping the border regions, and said he didn't think such an attack
would be launched again.
One was, however, in the same region, in October. Over 80 people were killed
this time, some boys as young as eight. In January, the U.S. acknowledged
launching the attack, although there was no apology. This time there was no
acknowledgement. Pakistani helicopters appeared in the air 20 minutes after the
attack over Bajour, and the Pakistani military took the blame for it. Again,
Ayman al-Ziwahiri was said to be at the madrasah. Again, he was not there. The
government said a number of "miscreants," were killed. Few, if anyone, it seems,
believes the government.
Journalists are barred from the region. They must be careful. In November
2004, a Pakistani intelligence officer warned Hayatullah Khan, 32, a reporter
for The Nation, a national newspaper, to leave Waziristan, the region
south of Bajour, along the Afghan border. Khan stayed and reported on December
4, 2005 that a U.S. (CIA) Hellfire missile had killed Hamza Rabia, an al-Qaeda leader, in Miran Shah, along the
border. He had photographs that showed missile parts with U.S. markings.
The next day, Khan disappeared. His body was found June 2006, his hands still
bound, the newspapers reported, with government-issued handcuffs. The government
launched an investigation, but The Nation noted today that its findings
have not been made public.
The Nation said that a recent report on Khan's death by the Committee to Protect Journalists,
titled "Dangerous Assignments," had just been made public. The paper noted that
Khan had been threatened by law enforcement figures and religious extremists,
and that the U.S. military had detained him for four days in 2002 in Paktia
Province, which is just across the border in Afghanistan.
"General Musharraf is under pressure from the U.S. He just
returned from there where he was criticized for not doing enough to find
militants and to help the U.S. in its war on terrorism," said Professor
Miraj-ul-Islam, who has a post-doctorate from Oxford and is head of the Islamic
Studies Department at the University of Peshawar, a beautiful tree-lined campus
in the heart of the city. He talked about visiting the Amish in Pennsylvania and
people who washed their bodies with mud in New Mexico, all part of a State
Department program titled "Religion in America."
"The more the U.S. is here, the more our faith will grow, and the stronger we
Muslims will be," said Ul-Islam. "The growth in religious political parties in
this region is a direct result of the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan."
I talked with Milt Bearden recently, CIA station chief in Islamabad from
1986-1989, and a frequent visitor to Pakistan. He noted that when the FBI tried
to open up a small field office in Chitral this year, in the northern part of
Pakistan, near the Afghan border, the whole countryside knew about it
immediately. The FBI had to close the office.
The point is that foreigners cannot operate in the tribal areas along the
Afghan-Pakistani border. This is the provenance of Pakistan's national security
apparatus, which works closely with, and, it is often said here, against
American intelligence.
It takes time to understand this region of the world. Said Bearden, quoting
Kipling, "A fool lies here, who tried to hustle the East."
Yes, it does
take time. But, regardless, it behooves us to know it better, especially if one
thinks that Abazaid and Manningham-Buller are right. Already, Western
journalists and pundits are beginning to call this region, together with the
land that lies just across the border in Afghanistan, "Jihadistan." We will
explore this some more, from Afghanistan, where there is already snow in the
mountains.
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